Neutrophil, lymphocyte count, and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio predict multimorbidity and mortality-results from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study on Aging follow-up study

Immunosenescence is the age-related changes in the immune system, namely, progressively higher levels of circulating inflammatory markers, characteristics changes of circulating immune subset cells and altered immune function. The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NL ratio) has been identified as a prognostic indicator for neoplastic disease progression, in predicting chronic degenerative diseases, and as a potential indirect marker of healthy aging. This study aims to examine the longitudinal association of neutrophil, lymphocyte absolute count, and their ratio with longitudinal risk for multimorbidity and mortality. The Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (BLSA) is an open observational cohort study of community-dwelling volunteers that are followed every 1-4 years depending on their age. The sample considered in the study consists of 1769 participants (5090 follow-ups) with completed data for physical examination, health history assessment, and donated a blood sample. The NL ratio increased with age and was associated with a higher risk of mortality, while a lower NL ratio was inversely correlated with multimorbidity. Neutrophils increased with aging and an increase in their absolute number predicted mortality risk. However, the absolute number of lymphocytes was associated with age only in a cross-sectional analysis. In conclusion, this study supports the importance of the NL ratio and absolute neutrophil count as markers of aging health status, and as significant predictors of all-cause mortality and multimorbidity in aging individuals. It remains to be demonstrated whether interventions contrasting these trends in circulating cells may result in improved health outcomes.