The influence of autoantibody profile, disease manifestations and demographic features on survival in systemic lupus erythematosus: a comparative study

Objective: This study aims to investigate the influence of various clinical and immunological factors, including disease manifestations, autoantibody profile, age, gender, disease duration, and family history of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), on patient survival outcomes. Methods: A comparative analysis was conducted between survivors and non-survivors of SLE. Stepwise logistic regression analysis was employed to evaluate the impact of each variable on mortality, allowing for a nuanced understanding of their respective contributions. Results: A total of 229 patients were included in the study (187 survivors and 42 non-survivors). The median age at disease onset for survivors and non-survivors was 29 and 27.5 years respectively. A higher proportion of men was observed among non-survivors compared to survivors. Subgroup analysis revealed a significant difference in mortality rates between individuals under 22 years and those 22 years or older, with 23.5% and 7.8% mortality rates, respectively (P = 0.042). Moreover, specific clinical factors were found to be associated with increased mortality, including pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), anemia, thrombocytopenia, pulmonary disease, and renal disease. Conversely, certain manifestations such as arthritis and alopecia were associated with a reduced risk of mortality. Of particular importance, PAH emerged as the strongest predictor of mortality (OR 37.9, P < 0.012). Conclusion: The findings of this study underscore the complex interplay between clinical and immunological factors in influencing survival outcomes in SLE patients. Specifically, the identification of PAH as a key predictor of mortality highlights the importance of comprehensive monitoring, early detection, and timely intervention strategies in the management of SLE patients to improve long-term prognosis.