The Technology Innovation of Hybrid Electric Vehicles: A Patent-Based Study

被引:0
|
作者
Zhu, Yan [1 ]
Wu, Jie [1 ]
Gaidai, Oleg [2 ]
机构
[1] Jiangsu Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Econ & Management, Zhenjiang 212100, Peoples R China
[2] Shanghai Ocean Univ, Coll Engn Sci & Technol, Shanghai 201306, Peoples R China
来源
WORLD ELECTRIC VEHICLE JOURNAL | 2024年 / 15卷 / 08期
关键词
hybrid electric vehicles; patents; technology lifecycle; technological innovation; technology diffusion; S-curve; ENERGY MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES; PLUG-IN HYBRID; POWER MANAGEMENT; NETWORK ANALYSIS; EMISSION; SYSTEMS; FIELD; COMPETITION; DIFFUSION; MATURITY;
D O I
10.3390/wevj15080329
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
A hybrid electric vehicle (HEV) is a relatively practical technology that has emerged as electric vehicle technology has gradually matured. The analysis of the HEV patent lifecycle is crucial for understanding its impact on the development of this technology. This lifecycle tracks the progress of HEV technologies from their inception and patenting, through their market adoption, and to the expiration of their patent protection. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the technology lifecycle of the HEV industry using the growth S-curve method. The purpose of this study is to describe the technological lifecycle trajectory and current stage of the HEV industry, as well as the technical stages of each sub-technology, to facilitate better decision making. As part of this study, we used patent family data collected from the Derwent Innovation Index database from 1975 to 2022 and established an S-curve model for HEVs and their sub-technologies using logistic regression. In 2022, the technological maturity of HEVs reached 44%. The sub-technologies with the most substantial diffusion capabilities are energy management, propulsion systems, and cooling circuits. According to predictions, the saturation period for the patent family quantity related to HEVs is estimated to be around 53 years.
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页数:20
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