How industrial robots affect employment: firm-level evidence from China

Using China's Annual Survey of Industrial Firms (ASIF) and the China Customs Database (CCD) from 2000 to 2013, this study explores the impact of adopting industrial robots on the employment in Chinese manufacturing firms. We find a positive association between the adoption of industrial robots and the employment scale of China's manufacturing enterprises. We also find evidence that the positive association is more pronounced in capital-intensive industries, non-state-owned firms, and firms in coastal areas. Mechanism test indicates that 'scale expansion effects' and 'productivity effects' are the main channels through which industrial robots promote employment growth. Further analysis indicates that the adoption of industrial robots did not have obvious industry spillover effects. Additionally, other labor market results demonstrate that the adoption of industrial robots significantly increases the average wage level of enterprises while decreasing their labor share. This study provides micro-level evidence revealing the impact of adopting industrial robots on employment in developing countries. It also provides important policy implications for countries worldwide seeking to promote automated production.