Age-Based Heuristics Bias Treatment of Displaced Femoral Neck Fractures in the Elderly

Background: Surgeons performing arthroplasty for femoral neck fractures may rely on mental shortcuts (heuristics) when choosing total hip arthroplasty (THA) vs hemiarthroplasty (HA). We sought to quantify the extent to which age -based heuristics drive decision-making. Methods: We identi fied all Medicare bene ficiaries from 2017-2018 with femoral neck fractures who underwent THA or HA. We compared the likelihood of THA vs HA among patients admitted within 4 weeks before vs 4 weeks after their birthday for each age under the hypothesis that these cohorts would be similar except for numerical age. We controlled for race/ethnicity, sex, comorbidities, poverty status, and hospital census region in a multivariable regression that included facility-level cluster effects. We generated predicted/adjusted probabilities for THA vs HA for different age transition points. Results: Thirteen thousand three hundred sixty-six elderly patients were included. One thousand eight hundred sixty- five (14%) received THA and 11,501 (86%) received HA. The likelihood of THA decreased from 50.3% among patients almost 67 to 8% among those >= 85 ( P < .001). We found signi ficant decreases in likelihood of THA across age transitions. The largest decrement was at age transition 69 (THA likelihood 28.7% for newly 69 vs 43.3% for almost 69, 33.7% relative change). Female gender, Black race, higher comorbidity burden, and lower socioeconomic status were also associated with a lower likelihood of THA. Conclusions: Our data demonstrate that patient age transitions seem to in fluence the choice of THA vs HA. Further research is needed to develop data -driven surgical decision aids for this population. (c) 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. on behalf of The American Association of Hip and Knee Surgeons. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/ licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).