Fifty years of environmental progress for United States dairy farms

Dairy farms in the United States have changed in many ways over the past 50 yr. Milk production efficiency has increased greatly, with similar to 30% fewer cows producing about twice the amount of milk today. Other improvements include increases in crop yields, fuel efficiency of farm equipment, and efficiency in producing most resources used on farms (e.g. electricity, fuel, fertilizer). These improvements have led to changes in the environmental impact of farms. Through simulation of representative dairy farms in 1971 and 2020, changes in nutrient losses and farmgate life cycle assessments of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, fossil energy use, and blue (ground and surface) water use were determined for 6 regions and the United States. For all environmental metrics studied, intensities expressed per unit of fat- and protein-corrected milk produced were reduced, but the total effects over all farms or milk produced increased for 5 of the 13 environmental metrics. Reductions in the impacts of dairy farms in the eastern United States were offset by large increases in western regions because of a major increase in cow numbers in the West. The national average intensity of GHG emissions decreased by 42%, which gave just a 14% increase in the total GHG emissions of all dairy farms over the 50-yr period. The intensity of fossil energy use decreased by 54%, with the total for all farms decreasing by 9%. Water use related to milk production decreased in intensity by 28%, but due to the large increase in dairy production in the dry western regions that have a greater dependence on irrigated feed crops, total blue water use increased by 42%. Major pathways of nitrogen loss included ammonia volatilization, leaching, and denitrification, where total ammonia emissions related to US dairy farms increased by 29%, while leaching losses decreased by 39%, with little change in nitrous oxide emissions. Simulated nitrogen and phosphorus runoff losses totaled for all dairy farms decreased by 27% to 51% through more efficient fertilizer use, reduced tillage, and greater use of cover crops. Emissions of methane and reactive non-methane volatile organic compounds increased by 32% and 53%, respectively, due to greater use of long-term manure storage and silage stored in bunkers and piles. Although much progress has been made in improving production efficiency, continued improvements with new strategies and technologies are needed to meet the demand for dairy products and mitigate total environmental impacts, particularly in view of projected climate variability.