Causality for Functional Longitudinal Data

被引:0
|
作者
Ying, Andrew
机构
来源
关键词
Causal Inference; Stochastic Process; Panel Data; Functional Data; Continuous Time; MARGINAL STRUCTURAL MODELS; GRAPHICAL MODELS; INFERENCE; MORTALITY; ZIDOVUDINE;
D O I
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中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
"Treatment-confounder feedback" is the central complication to resolve in longitudinal studies, to infer causality. The existing frameworks of identifying causal effects for longitudinal studies with repeated measures hinge heavily on assuming that time advances in discrete time steps or data change as a jumping process, rendering the number of "feedbacks" finite. However, medical studies nowadays with real-time monitoring involve functional time-varying outcomes, treatment, and confounders, which leads to an uncountably infinite number of "feedbacks". Therefore more general and advanced theory is needed. We generalize the definition of causal effects under user-specified stochastic treatment regimes to functional longitudinal studies with continuous monitoring and develop an identification framework for a end-of-study outcome. We provide sufficient identification assumptions including a generalized consistency assumption, a sequential randomization assumption, a positivity assumption, and a novel "intervenable" assumption designed for the continuous-time case. Under these assumptions, we propose a g-computation process and an inverse probability weighting process, which suggest a g-computation formula and an inverse probability weighting formula for identification. For practical purposes, we also construct two classes of population estimating equations to identify these two processes, respectively, which further suggest a doubly robust identification formula with extra robustness against process misspecification.
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页码:665 / 687
页数:23
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