Risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 in hematological patients who received or not pre-exposure prophylaxis with tixagevimab/cilgavimab: a target trial emulation

We emulated a hypothetical target trial in which hematological subjects cared at the University Hospital of Pisa (Italy) received or not SARS-CoV-2 prophylaxis with tixagevimab/cilgavimab. Subjects who received prophylaxis (cases) were compared to those who did not (controls). The main outcome was SARS-CoV-2 infection in the subsequent 6 months. Inverse probability weighting (IPW) was used to adjust for confounders. A multivariable analysis was performed to identify variables associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. We recruited 462 patients: 228 received prophylaxis, 234 were controls. COVID-19 was lower in cases compared to controls (16.7% vs 24.8%, p = 0.03, after IPW 14.3% vs 24.6%, p = 0.01). On multivariable analysis, B-cell depleting therapies (HR 2.09, 95%CI 1.05-4.18, p = 0.037) were associated with increased risk of COVID-19, while tixagevimab/cilgavimab prophylaxis (HR 0.45, 95%CI 0.27-0.73, p = 0.001) and previous SARS-CoV-2 infection (HR 0.27, 95%CI 0.14-0.51, p < 0.001) were protective. In conclusion, prophylaxis with monoclonal antibodies may reduce the risk of COVID-19 in hematological patients.