Arming to fight: Rebel-government militarization and the escalation of violence in civil wars

被引：0

作者：

Pamp, Oliver ^{[1
]}

Thurner, Paul W. ^{[1
]}

Binder, Paul ^{[1
]}

Mehltretter, Andreas ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Ludwig Maximilians Univ Munich LMU Munich, Oettingenstr 67, D-80538 Munich, Germany

来源：

CONFLICT MANAGEMENT AND PEACE SCIENCE | 2024年

关键词：

Civil war; rebel groups; armament data; conflict intensity; SEVERITY; INTERVENTION; DURATION; OUTCOMES; MODELS;

D O I：

10.1177/07388942241263028

中图分类号：

D81 [国际关系];

学科分类号：

030207 ;

摘要：

Do more weapons in the hands of rebel groups escalate civil wars? We address this question using a recently published dataset on the armaments of 270 non-state actors. We provide a comprehensive overview of their arsenals and utilize this information in a dyadic analysis that also considers the effects of governments' weapons stock. We show that better-armed rebel groups are involved in higher-intensity conflicts only if they receive no external support. Moreover, conventional warfare is related to higher casualty numbers and the impact of arms provision to governments is conditional on the relative military strength of the opposing rebels.

引用

页数：23