What share of asset price movements is driven by news? We build a large, time-stamped event database covering scheduled macro news as well as unscheduled events and find that news account for up to 35% of bond and stock price movements in the United States and euro area since 2002. This suggests that a much larger share of return variation can be traced back to observable news than previously thought. Moreover, we provide stylized facts about the type of news that matter most for asset prices, spillover effects between the US and euro area, and the predictability of monetary policy shocks.
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Fed Reserve Syst, Board Governors, Washington, DC 20551 USAUniv Wisconsin, Wisconsin Sch Business, Dept Real Estate & Urban Land Econ, Madison, WI 53706 USA
Campbell, Sean D.
Davis, Morris A.
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Univ Wisconsin, Wisconsin Sch Business, Dept Real Estate & Urban Land Econ, Madison, WI 53706 USAUniv Wisconsin, Wisconsin Sch Business, Dept Real Estate & Urban Land Econ, Madison, WI 53706 USA
Davis, Morris A.
Gallin, Joshua
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Fed Reserve Syst, Board Governors, Washington, DC 20551 USAUniv Wisconsin, Wisconsin Sch Business, Dept Real Estate & Urban Land Econ, Madison, WI 53706 USA
Gallin, Joshua
Martin, Robert F.
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Fed Reserve Syst, Board Governors, Washington, DC 20551 USAUniv Wisconsin, Wisconsin Sch Business, Dept Real Estate & Urban Land Econ, Madison, WI 53706 USA