Influences of Stratospheric Arctic Vortex on Surface Air Temperature Over Asia

The influence of northern polar vortex in the stratosphere (SPV) in December-January on Asia's surface air temperature (SAT) in February has been examined using reanalysis data sets and a barotropic model. An out-of-phase interannual linkage between the SPV in December-January and SAT in February during 1979-2022 has been observed, that is, a strong (weak) SPV corresponds to a cooling (warming) over Asia. Approximately 25% of the SAT over Asia in February can be explained by the SPV in December-January. This relationship between the SPV and SAT is independent of the Arctic Oscillation. The influence of the SPV on SAT over Asia cannot be solely explained by radiative processes, but is instead related to circulation anomalies in the troposphere. A stronger SPV tends to result in negative geopotential height anomalies with cyclonic circulation over Asia. The SPV-related geopotential height over Asia is accompanied by a weakened teleconnection pattern between the North Atlantic and Asia, with three centers from the northeastern Atlantic-eastern Europe-Asia, and fewer stationary waves propagated from North Atlantic into Asia. These anomalous circulation patterns and anomalous northerly wind over Central Asia in February are beneficial to the colder air transportation from the higher latitudes to Asia, facilitating a surface cooling over Asia. Our results shed light on the interannual linkage between SPV and SAT over Asia, suggesting that the SPV in December-January could be considered as a new predicator of SAT in February over Asia. Scientists and the public have become increasingly aware of the significant influences of the stratosphere on tropospheric weather and climate. While numerous studies have focused on the crucial roles of stratospheric anomalies in shaping surface air temperature (SAT) anomalies over Europe and North America, relatively little attention has been given to understanding the potential impacts of stratospheric polar vortex over Arctic (SPV) on SAT over Asia. In this study, we found a robust and out-of-phase linkage between the SPV in December-January and SAT in February over Asia during 1979-2022. A stronger SPV tends to induce an anomalous cyclonic circulation characterized by negative geopotential height, facilitating the transport of colder air from higher latitudes to Asia, thereby contributing a cooling effect on the surface. Our findings suggest that the December-January SPV can serve as a predictor for SAT in February over Asia. A strong (weak) SPV in December-January tends to result in a cooling (warming) over Asia in February on interannual timescales The out-of-phase linkage between December-January SPV and February surface air temperature (SAT) is independent of AO in February The influence of SPV on Asia SAT is related to the tropospheric circulation anomalies via dynamic process, rather than radiative process