Enhancing digital cryptocurrency trading price prediction with an attention-based convolutional and recurrent neural network approach: The case of Ethereum

被引:0
|
作者
Shang, Dawei [1 ,2 ]
Guo, Ziyu [3 ]
Wang, Hui [4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Zhenghzhou Univ, Sch Polit & Publ Adm, Zhengzhou, Peoples R China
[2] Peking Univ, Beijing, Peoples R China
[3] Zhengzhou Univ, Business Sch, Zhengzhou, Peoples R China
[4] Fujian Univ Technol, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
[5] Peking Univ, Sustainabil Res Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China
关键词
Improved convolutional neural network; Attention-based allocation function; Cryptocurrency price; Interpretable machine learning approach; Times series;
D O I
10.1016/j.frl.2024.105846
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
To predict Ethereum price fluctuations, this study proposes a new two-stage Machine Learning approach using an improved convolutional neural network and a recurrent neural network framework, integrating an attention mechanism-based distribution function algorithm. We construct a dataset and perform model training, fitting, and forecasting. The results indicate that compared with traditional neural networks and time-series models such as GRU and ARIMA, respectively, this approach can effectively use the data information of digital cryptocurrency and improve the prediction accuracy and interpretability of attention-based allocation functions. This study contributes to the literature by offering a new approach for stakeholders.
引用
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页数:9
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