Deep Learning Models for Bitcoin Prediction Using Hybrid Approaches with Gradient-Specific Optimization

被引:1
|
作者
Ladhari, Amina [1 ]
Boubaker, Heni [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sousse, Inst High Commercial Studies Sousse, Econ & Quantitat Methods Dept, Econ Management & Quantitat Finance Res Lab LaREMF, Sousse 4054, Tunisia
[2] IPAG Business Sch, F-75006 Paris, France
来源
FORECASTING | 2024年 / 6卷 / 02期
关键词
cryptocurrency; Bitcoin; forecasting; machine learning; deep learning; LSTM; gradient-specific optimization; attention; ANN; dataset;
D O I
10.3390/forecast6020016
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Since cryptocurrencies are among the most extensively traded financial instruments globally, predicting their price has become a crucial topic for investors. Our dataset, which includes fluctuations in Bitcoin's hourly prices from 15 May 2018 to 19 January 2024, was gathered from Crypto Data Download. It is made up of over 50,000 hourly data points that provide a detailed view of the price behavior of Bitcoin over a five-year period. In this study, we used potent algorithms, including gradient descent, attention mechanisms, long short-term memory (LSTM), and artificial neural networks (ANNs). Furthermore, to estimate the price of Bitcoin, we first merged two deep learning algorithms, LSTM and attention mechanisms, and then combined LSTM-Attention with gradient-specific optimization to increase our model's performance. Then we integrated ANN-LSTM and included gradient-specific optimization for the same reason. Our results show that the hybrid model with gradient-specific optimization can be used to anticipate Bitcoin values with better accuracy. Indeed, the hybrid model combines the best features of both approaches, and gradient-specific optimization improves predictive performance through frequent analysis of pricing data changes.
引用
收藏
页码:279 / 295
页数:17
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