The mediating role of corporate borrowings in the nexus between financial inclusion and performance of ICT firms: new insights from Vietnam

This paper examines the effect of financial inclusion on firm performance and whether corporate borrowings serve as an effective channel of the impact. In doing so, we use principal component analysis to calculate a financial inclusion index for Vietnam. We then conduct mediation analysis on this index and a large panel of Vietnamese firms in information and communication technology sector from 2008 to 2018. Empirical results indicate a negative influence of financial inclusion on firms' return on assets. More importantly, corporate borrowings significantly mediate this relationship. In particular, financial inclusion increases corporate borrowings, which then affects return on assets. Although corporate borrowings are positively associated with firm sales, they reduce return on assets and net profit margin of firms. The findings are robust to different estimation methods and inclusion of control variables. They convey important policy implications for governments, academic researchers, and industry practitioners wishing to design programmes and policies to help firms obtain the financial resources necessary for their development.