Research on long term power load grey combination forecasting based on fuzzy support vector machine

Aiming at the problem of low accuracy of single model in power load forecasting, a method based on fuzzy support vector machine and grey combination forecasting is proposed. The power load data is analyzed and prepared by means of data repair, preprocessing and fuzzy C-means clustering, which is combined with fuzzy support vector machine and grey prediction. The clustering results are taken as the input of the grey prediction model, and the preliminary prediction results are obtained through parameter modification. Then, the results are taken as the input of support vector machine, and the long-term power load prediction is carried out by combining the two models. The experimental results show that the proposed method has excellent performance in predicting long-term power load accurately, and the prediction accuracy is significantly improved compared with the traditional single forecasting model. The application of this method to longterm power load forecasting below 4000 KWH proves its high prediction accuracy and reliability once again. When the clustering category of power load fuzzy clustering is set to 30, the best data clustering effect can be obtained, and the prediction accuracy is further improved.