The detection of circulating tumor cells indicates poor therapeutic efficacy and prognosis in patients with nonsmall cell lung cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective: The efficacy and prognostic value of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are controversial based on the existing research. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the significance of CTCs in NSCLC therapy monitoring and prognosis prediction, supporting their potential as clinical biomarkers. Methods: We conducted a comprehensive search of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, The Cochrane Library, WanFang Data, CNKI, and VIP through September 20, 2023. Inclusion criteria were cohort studies involving NSCLC patients, focusing on peripheral blood CTCs, and assessing outcomes such as pre- and posttreatment CTC rates or levels, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Two reviewers independently extracted the data and assessed risk of bias using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. We utilized Review Manager 5.4.1 for meta-analysis, calculating pooled odds ratios (ORs) for dichotomous outcomes, mean differences for continuous variables and hazard ratios (HRs) for survival data, applying fixed- or random-effects models based on heterogeneity assessed by the I2 statistic. This study was registered in PROSPERO (No. CRD42023450035). Results: Twenty-two eligible studies with a total of 1674 NSCLC patients were included. Meta-analysis results showed that the CTCs-positive rate (OR = 0.59, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.77, p = 0.0001) and CTCs count (mean difference = -3.10, 95% CI -5.52 to -0.69, p = 0.01) were significantly decreased after antitumor treatment. Compared with the CTCs nonreduced group, the CTC-reduced group showed better PFS (HR = 1.71, 95% CI 1.35 to 2.17, p < 0.00001) and OS (HR = 1.50, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.86, p = 0.0003) after treatment. PFS and OS in CTC-positive groups were lower than those in the CTCs-negative group pretreatment (HR = 2.49, 95% CI 1.78 to 3.47, p < 0.00001; HR = 1.80, 95% CI 1.29 to 2.52, p = 0.0006) and posttreatment (HR = 3.36, 95% CI 2.12 to 5.33, p < 0.00001; HR = 3.31, 95% CI 1.75 to 6.27, p = 0.0002). Conclusions: CTCs can be used as a biomarker to monitor NSCLC efficacy, predict prognosis and guide follow-up treatment.