AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF SAMPLING INTERVAL FOR EXCHANGE RATE FORECASTING WITH NEURAL NETWORKS

被引:0
|
作者
K.K.Lai
Y.Nakamori
机构
[1] Department of Management Sciences
[2] City University of Hong Kong
[3] Tat Chee Avenue
[4] Kowloon
[5] Hong Kong
[6] School of Knowledge Science
[7] Japan Advanced Institute of Science and
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中图分类号
TP183 [人工神经网络与计算];
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摘要
<正> Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been widely used as a promising alternative approach for forecast task because of their several distinguishing features. In this paper, we investigate the effect of different sampling intervals on predictive performance of ANNs in forecasting exchange rate time series. It is shown that selection of an appropriate sampling interval would permit the neural network to model adequately the financial time series. Too short or too long a sampling interval does not provide good forecasting accuracy. In addition, we discuss the effect of forecasting horizons and input nodes on the prediction performance of neural networks.
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页码:165 / 176
页数:12
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