openWAR: An open source system for evaluating overall player performance in major league baseball

被引:23
|
作者
Baumer, Benjamin S. [1 ]
Jensen, Shane T. [2 ]
Matthews, Gregory J. [3 ]
机构
[1] Smith Coll, Stat & Data Sci, Northampton, MA 01063 USA
[2] Univ Penn, Wharton Sch, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
[3] Loyola Univ Chicago, Math & Stat, Chicago, IL USA
关键词
baseball; R; reproducibility; simulation; statistical modeling;
D O I
10.1515/jqas-2014-0098
中图分类号
O1 [数学]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ; 0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
Within sports analytics, there is substantial interest in comprehensive statistics intended to capture overall player performance. In baseball, one such measure is wins above replacement (WAR), which aggregates the contributions of a player in each facet of the game: hitting, pitching, baserunning, and fielding. However, current versions of WAR depend upon proprietary data, ad hoc methodology, and opaque calculations. We propose a competitive aggregate measure, openWAR, that is based on public data, a methodology with greater rigor and transparency, and a principled standard for the nebulous concept of a "replacement" player. Finally, we use simulation-based techniques to provide interval estimates for our openWAR measure that are easily portable to other domains.
引用
收藏
页码:69 / 84
页数:16
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] A Century of Player Movement in Major League Baseball
    Schmidt, Martin B.
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SPORT FINANCE, 2014, 9 (01): : 39 - 52
  • [2] PLAYER SALARY ISSUES IN MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
    STAUDOHAR, PD
    [J]. ARBITRATION JOURNAL, 1978, 33 (04): : 17 - 21
  • [3] Lower Extremity Biomechanics Predicts Major League Baseball Player Performance
    Teske, Lucas G.
    Beck, Edward C.
    Bullock, Garrett S.
    Nicholson, Kristen F.
    Waterman, Brian R.
    [J]. ORTHOPAEDIC JOURNAL OF SPORTS MEDICINE, 2021, 9 (07)
  • [4] Concussion rates and effects on player performance in Major League Baseball players
    Sabesan, Vani J.
    Prey, Beau
    Smith, Ryan
    Lombardo, Daniel J.
    Borroto, Wilfredo J.
    Whaley, James D.
    [J]. OPEN ACCESS JOURNAL OF SPORTS MEDICINE, 2018, 9 : 253 - 260
  • [5] Revenue Sharing and Player Salaries in Major League Baseball
    Hill, James Richard
    Jolly, Nicholas A.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS, 2017, 18 (08) : 831 - 849
  • [6] Rethinking restrictions on player mobility in major league baseball
    Maxcy, JG
    [J]. CONTEMPORARY ECONOMIC POLICY, 2002, 20 (02) : 145 - 159
  • [7] MANAGERIAL QUALITY, TEAM SUCCESS, AND INDIVIDUAL PLAYER PERFORMANCE IN MAJOR-LEAGUE BASEBALL
    KAHN, LM
    [J]. INDUSTRIAL & LABOR RELATIONS REVIEW, 1993, 46 (03): : 531 - 547
  • [8] PAY AND PERFORMANCE IN MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
    SCULLY, GW
    [J]. AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 1974, 64 (06): : 915 - 930
  • [9] Major league player (Jeffrey Loria, art dealer, baseball)
    Mandell, J
    [J]. ARTNEWS, 2000, 99 (03): : 87 - 88
  • [10] SLEEPINESS AS A PREDICTOR OF PLAYER LONGEVITY WITHIN MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
    Potenziano, B. J.
    Rogers, S. L.
    Pfeifer, P. E.
    Winter, W. C.
    [J]. SLEEP, 2012, 35 : A273 - A273