FDI Inflows into Russian Real Sector: Microeconomic Foundations and Forecasting

被引：0
|
作者：
Mogilat, Anastasia [1 ,2 ]
机构：
[1] Ctr Macroecon Anal & Short Term Forecasting, Moscow, Russia
[2] Inst Econ Forecasting, Moscow, Russia
来源：
VOPROSY EKONOMIKI | 2015年 / 06期
关键词：
foreign direct investment (FDI); foreign companies; sectoral structure of FDI; Heckman selection model;
D O I：
10.32609/0042-8736-2015-6-25-44
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
We develop a two-step methodology for analysis of FDI inflows into industries of Russian real sector, based on Heckman selection model. The methodology is related to the following important points: (1) it helps to take into account multilevel factors of FDI inflows (including firm-level, industrial and macroeconomic factors); (2) one can use it to forecast FDI inflows into industries. According to estimates, in 2015 FDI to Russian real sector is going to fall in most industries. This shall result in a significant shift in the FDI structure towards raw materials and energy sectors. However, in 2017 FDI will recover in most industries (including the shift back in the sectoral structure of FDI).
引用
收藏
页码：25 / 44
页数：20
相关论文
共 27 条
  • [1] DETERMINANTS OF FDI INFLOWS: THE CASE OF RUSSIAN REGIONS
    Mariev, O. S.
    Drapkin, I. M.
    Chukavina, K. V.
    Rachinger, H.
    [J]. EKONOMIKA REGIONA-ECONOMY OF REGION, 2016, 12 (04): : 1244 - 1252
  • [2] Banking sector performance and FDI inflows in Bangladesh: exploring the unexplored
    Alam, Md Badrul
    Sayal, Aziz Ullah
    Jan, Muhammad Naveed
    Tahir, Muhammad
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC AND ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCES, 2023,
  • [3] Default Forecasting in the Russian Banking Sector
    Sinelnikova-Muryleva, Elena V.
    Gorshkova, Taisija G.
    Makeeva, Natalja V.
    [J]. EKONOMICHESKAYA POLITIKA, 2018, 13 (02): : 8 - 27
  • [4] Positive Analysis of the Influence of Real RMB Exchange Rate on FDI Inflows
    Tao, Jiang
    [J]. TENTH WUHAN INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON E-BUSINESS, VOLS I AND II, 2011, : 867 - 873
  • [5] Features of the Cognitive Approach in Forecasting Systems of Staff Training for the Real Sector of the Russian Economy
    Gorbachev, Sergey
    Syryamkin, Maksim
    Syryamkin, Vladimir
    Vaganova, Elena
    [J]. XVTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE LINGUISTIC AND CULTURAL STUDIES: TRADITIONS AND INNOVATIONS (LKTI 2015), 2015, 206 : 406 - 409
  • [6] Why did make in India scheme fail to attract FDI inflows in Indian manufacturing sector?
    Choudhury, Rahul Nath
    [J]. JOURNAL OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS, 2022, 22 (01)
  • [7] An empirical investigation of the relationship between the real exchange rate and net FDI inflows in Mauritius
    Babubudjnauth, Ashok
    Seetanah, Boopendra
    [J]. AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC AND MANAGEMENT STUDIES, 2020, 11 (01) : 63 - 74
  • [8] A NEW APPROACH FOR ESTIMATING THE EXPECTED FDI INFLOWS: THE TIP MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION IN THE TURKISH BANKING SECTOR
    Kontakos, Penagiotis
    [J]. FUTURE OF ENTREPRENEURSHIP, 2014, : 964 - 975
  • [9] The real sector of the Russian economy: Estimation and analysis
    Khanin, G
    Suslov, N
    [J]. EUROPE-ASIA STUDIES, 1999, 51 (08) : 1433 - 1454
  • [10] Stress Testing for Russian Real Sector: First Approach
    Salnikov, V.
    Mogilat, A.
    Maslov, I.
    [J]. ZHURNAL NOVAYA EKONOMICHESKAYA ASSOTSIATSIYA-JOURNAL OF THE NEW ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, 2012, (04): : 46 - 70
123