Statistical testings for common stochastic trends in markets under recession

被引:0
|
作者
Cho, Joong-Jae [1 ]
Lee, Seung-Eun [1 ]
Kim, Tae-Ho [1 ]
机构
[1] Chungbuk Natl Univ, Dept Informat Stat, Chungdae Ro 1, Cheongju 28644, Chungbuk, South Korea
关键词
restricted VAR; unrestricted VAR; equilibrium error;
D O I
10.5351/KJAS.2016.29.4.559
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
A long-run relationship of stock, monetary, realty markets, and business conditions has been suggested to exist due to internal and external shocks. This study investigates whether such a relationship really exists and then performs statistical tests to discern features of the long-run adjustment processes from short-run discrepancies because it is difficult to find studies that examine the market relationship. The comovement relationship of the whole market does not appear to hold for the entire study period; however, it is found to exist for the period before the financial crisis. Estimated error correction models show consistently declining equilibrium errors each period that suggests a recovering process of the long-run equilibrium from short-run secessions.
引用
收藏
页码:559 / 569
页数:11
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