Assessment of the relative and absolute risk of recidivism using Static-99 in a German-speaking population of released sexual offenders

被引：0
|
作者：
Eher, Reinhard [1 ,2 ]
Schilling, Frank [1 ]
Haubner-MacLean, Tanja [1 ]
Jahn, Thomas [1 ]
Rettenberger, Martin [1 ,3 ]
机构：
[1] Begutachtungs & Evaluationsstelle Gewalt & Sexual, Gerichtsgasse 6, A-1210 Vienna, Austria
[2] Univ Klinikum Ulm, Abt Psychosomat Med & Psychotherapie, D-89081 Ulm, Germany
[3] Univ Klinikum Hamburg Eppendorf, Zentrum Psychosoziale Med, Inst Sexualforsch & Forens Psychiat, D-20246 Hamburg, Germany
来源：
FORENSISCHE PSYCHIATRIE PSYCHOLOGIE KRIMINOLOGIE | 2012年 / 6卷 / 01期
关键词：
Risk assessment; Absolute and relative risk; Sexual offenders; Recidivism; Static-99;
D O I：
10.1007/s11757-011-0146-z
中图分类号：
R749 [精神病学];
学科分类号：
100205 ;
摘要：
The predictive accuracy of the German version of Static-99 was examined prospectively in a sample of 1,142 sexual offenders released from Austrian prisons. The Static-99 was found to have moderate to good validity for the prediction of sexual recidivism, depending on the offender subsample (area under the curve, AUC = 0.69 - 0,77). The absolute and relative risk estimates for Static-99 were also calculated. Offender type but not age was found to incrementally add to the predictive accuracy of Static-99. Therefore, absolute recidivism rates are provided separately for the child molester subgroup. At this point in time it is recommended that Static-99 should be used rather than Static-99R for the German version of Static-99 when assessing the risk of imprisoned sexual offenders.
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页码：32 / 40
页数：9
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