On the Implications of the Markowitz Model of Utility embodying Gain Seeking Preferences for Odds on Betting and Bookmakers choice of Spread or Odds Betting
We demonstrate in a parametric formulation of the Markowitz model of utility that unless agents are initially gain seeking they will not bet on heavily odds on favorites for a given negative expected rate of return. The model supports Sauer's (1998) observation that it may not be profitable to make a market in contests involving heavy odds on favorites with implications for bookmakers choice of spread or odds markets in sports betting.