STEIN-RULE ESTIMATION IN MODELS WITH A LAGGED-DEPENDENT VARIABLE

There is an extensive literature on the Stein-rule estimation of the parameters in a regression model. An important result in this literature is that the Stein-rule does not dominate the least squares estimator in the lower mean squared error sense when there are two or less regressors in the model. However, we note that not much is known about the Stein-rule estimation in dynamic models. This paper is a modest attempt in this direction and it shows that Stein-rule estimation of the lagged coefficient does not dominate the least square indicating that the result of regresion model goes through in the dynamic case.