A prospective strategy for institutional development of Gayo coffee agroindustry in Aceh province, Indonesia

Agroindustry institution is one of the most strategic elements in agroindustry development. Institutional development of Gayo coffee agroindustry in Aceh province - Indonesia can be performed through prospective analysis, which analyses future situation by referring to the current situation. The purpose of the study was to design prospective strategy for institutional development of Gayo coffee agroindustry by using prospective analysis and analytical hierarchy process approach. This study resulted in three prospective scenarios in agroindustry institution development, which are optimistic scenario, moderate scenario, and pessimistic scenario. These three scenarios become guidelines for the policy makers in making decision according to key factors that include human resources capacity, community consciousness, knowledge basis, partnership between the actors, and local government support. Optimistic scenario is the most ideal scenario for developing Gayo coffee agroindustry in the future.