THE LEAD AND ACCURACY OF MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS

被引：8
|
作者：
KOLB, RA [1 ]
STEKLER, HO [1 ]
机构：
[1] NATL DEF UNIV,IND COLL ARMED FORCES,FT LESLEY J MCNAIR,WASHINGTON,DC
来源：
JOURNAL OF MACROECONOMICS | 1990年 / 12卷 / 01期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1016/0164-0704(90)90059-J
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
This paper examines whether the quality or accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts improves significantly as the forecast lead or horizon is reduced. The analysis utilizes descriptive statistics as well as a number of different procedures to determine whether there is a statistically significant difference in the accuracy of the predictions at the various horizons. © 1990.
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页码：111 / 123
页数：13
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