We developed a theoretic model of arterial stenosis to study the relationship between perfusion pressure and regional hemodynamics in stenotic infrainguinal vein grafts in an attempt to identify grafts at high risk for failure. Our model was based on the concept of energy and mass conservation of the flowing blood. We used the modified Bernoulli equation (DELTAP = 4DELTAV2) to calculate the maximum possible intrastenotic peak systolic velocity (PSV) from the systolic blood pressure. PSV was measured by means of duplex ultrasonography in infrainguinal bypasses up to the time of revision (nine grafts) or spontaneous thrombosis (two grafts). We related arm systolic blood pressure, intrastenotic PSV, and prestenotic PSV obtained from duplex examinations conducted prior to graft thrombosis or revision and applied our model to these stenotic vein grafts. Intrastenotic PSV was consistently lower than maximum PSV predicted from the Bernoulli equation. The highest measured intrastenotic PSV of 600 cm/sec would require a minimum perfusion pressure of 144 mm Hg. The lowest measured PSV (20 cm/sec) was considered the minimum ''thrombotic threshold velocity.'' This model predicts that for parabolic profile flow in an 80% diameter-reducing axisymmetric stenosis (96% cross-sectional area reduction), a prestenotic PSV of 20 cm/sec would produce an intrastenotic PSV of 500 cm/sec requiring the equivalent potential energy of 100 mm Hg systolic blood pressure. Our theory implies that in patients with nocturnal hypotension thrombosis of stenotic vein grafts may occur.