How Do We Make Sense of the Future? An Analysis of Futures Research Methodology - V2.0

被引:0
|
作者
Aaltonen, Mika [1 ]
Barth, Theodor [2 ]
机构
[1] Finland Futures Res Ctr, Korkeavuorenkatu 25 A 2, FIN-00130 Helsinki, Finland
[2] SINTEF Technol Soc, N-0314 Trondheim, Norway
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中图分类号
TU98 [区域规划、城乡规划];
学科分类号
0814 ; 082803 ; 0833 ;
摘要
This paper focuses on how to create value and meaning for users of the AC/UNU Millennium project's "Futures Research Methodology - V 2.0" report. Sensemaking is presented as a possible framework for achieving this objective, and supplements the efforts already invested in this direction by the "Futures Research Methodology - V 2.0". The rationale for this supplement will also be presented. When applied the "Futures Research Methodology - V 2.0" shows, in general, some interesting features characteristic of the implementation of knowledge systems. In particular, the emergence of effects that are beyond the initial - but not the final scope of the system. Sensemaking addresses the challenge of understanding and retrieving such dissipation from the knowledge system, and aims to bring it within a manageable range. In this way the article particularly addresses the shift that results from understanding and managing complexity. It puts forth a demonstration of these effects on futures research methods, and shows how foresight and hindsight may be used to gain insight into the present.
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页码:45 / 60
页数:16
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