Model complex of forecasting of interdependent development of migration processes and region labour market

被引：0
|
作者：
Chereshnev, V. A. [1 ]
Vasilyeva, A. V. [2 ]
机构：
[1] Russian Acad Sci, Inst Econ, Ural Branch, 29 Moskovskaya St, Ekaterinburg 620014, Russia
[2] Russian Acad Sci, Inst Econ, Ctr Econ Secur, Ural Branch, Ekaterinburg 620014, Russia
来源：
EKONOMIKA REGIONA-ECONOMY OF REGION | 2013年 / 3卷
关键词：
migration; unemployment; wage; region; search and matching model; forecast; migration policy;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
K9 [地理];
学科分类号：
0705 ;
摘要：
The essential problems of current international labor migration raising the need to forecast interdependent labor market and migration processes in a region for improving the effectiveness of regional migration policy in Russia are considered. A model for the prediction of migration flows as determined by wage differentials, distances between populations of the regions as well as wages and unemployment, which come from the impact of migration on the availability of jobs at the labor market with search-matching frictions for source and host regions is presented in the framework of search and matching theory. Applying the model to statistical data, the forecast for labor migration flows to regions of Russia from CIS countries, as well as its effects on regional labor markets for 2012-2021 is maid. Recommendations for improving the effectiveness of regional migration policy are given on the basis of the forecast.
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页码：272 / +
页数：10
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